Showing posts with label stock. Show all posts
Showing posts with label stock. Show all posts

May 22, 2010

Compounding Unfair Advantages for Bad Banks

Today we read...

WASHINGTON (AP) -- The Treasury Department indicated Friday it expects taxpayers will lose billions less from the financial bailouts than earlier estimated. The problem is, its revised forecast assumes Treasury's shares of bailed-out companies are gaining value despite this week's plunge in stock prices.

Below the surface of this story is another. It's a story of conflicts of interest that could lead to further unfair preferential treatment of bad-actor banks at the cost of banks that played by the rules.

The US Treasury Department has a clear interest in promoting the stock price of the banks it bailed out. This creates pressures for Treasury to set policies and make decisions for the benefit of these bad-actor banks, improving their balance sheets, regardless of merit. A bank could be a crappy business, and Treasury would still want it's stock price to increase.

Given that these bad-actor banks compete in some ways with other banks that didn't have to be bailed out, being propped up in this way by Treasury has the effect of creating an unfair advantage. This unfair advantage merely adds to the more blatant unfair advantage of the original bailout; huge banks that could have been allowed to fail and naturally break up were, instead, propped up or forced into being bought by other banks resulting in fewer, larger banks.

This situation cries out for anti-trust action by the Government; these huge banks need to be broken up. This is justified for technical reasons of avoiding avoiding too-big-to-fail crises in the future and creating a more fair competitive market for good banks. It's also justified on basic principles of fairness.

Sources:

Associated Press, Lower bailout estimate assumes higher stock prices, May 22, 2010.

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October 24, 2008

Black Friday



Sources:

Associated Press, World markets slump on recession fears, October 24, 2008.

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January 22, 2008

The Crash of 08?

Will today's date become famous in future history books? It already has in Hong Kong.

Those who know the US economy is running on borrowed .... money, and time, have wondered, "Will it come as a rapid crash or a slow, grinding decline?" Judging from the following numbers, it might be the former, and the time might be now.

Japan's Nikkei 225 index nose-dived 5.7 percent -- its biggest percentage drop in nearly 10 years -- to 12,573.05, a day after falling 3.9 percent. Australia's benchmark index sank 7.1 percent, the market's steepest one-day slide in nearly 20 years.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng index, which slumped 5.5 percent Monday, finished down 8.7 percent. In China, the Shanghai Composite index lost 7.2 percent to 4,559.75, its lowest close since August.

I sit here at 5:30am thinking, "Should I move my investments into cash?" Since I don't play around with my money that much, 1) I'm not sure I'd be able to do it rapidly, and 2) I'm not sure it would switch over quickly enough to avoid getting caught in today's pending crash here in the US.

Geeez! Hong Kong, 5.5% Monday and another 8.7% Tuesday. That's nearly 13% in two days.


Sources:

Associated Press, Asian Markets Tumble on US Worries, Yuri Kageyama, January 22, 2008.

Thanks to the comment below. Correction made.

March 5, 2007

Stock Market Domino Effect

7:00am EST

Markets in Asia and Europe fell again Monday, extending their slide into a second week as investors worried about a possible global "domino effect."

"When there's such a big market move in such a short period of time, there's that element of surprise and confusion," said Teruhisa Ishikawa, section chief for investors information at Mizuho Investors Securities Co.

"Everything takes a back seat relative to the sell-off that we are seeing," said Jose Vistan, research director at AB Capital Securities in Manila, Philippines, where the benchmark index sank 4.5 percent. "I don't know where the domino effect will stop."

Analysis

Possible motivations: Yen's jump to a three-month high against the dollar as investors reversed so-called yen-carry trades. In the US, markets were concerns about mortgage defaults and foreign markets.

Update:

The Dow Jones Index finished 63 points lower, having fallen in eight of the last nine sessions for a total loss of 4.6% in value since the market deflation started last Tuesday.

The Nasdaq composite index -- which is dominated by riskier technology and smallcap stocks -- dropped 27.32, or 1.15 percent. The Nasdaq has lost about 7% of its value since the slide began last Tuesday.

HSBC Holdings PLC, Europe's largest bank, said it suffered $10.6 billion in losses in 2006 on bad loans from its U.S. subprime mortgage operations. More on Real Estate.

Sources:

Extensive quotes from Associated Press, AP, March 5, 2007, "Markets across Asia plunge," YURI KAGEYAMA.

Associated Press, AP, March 5, 2007, Madlen Read,
Dow Ends Down 64, Nasdaq Drops 27 After Erratic Session Amid Worries About Mortgage Defaults