February 22, 2008

Thoughtful Commentary on Obama and Clinton

Some thoughtful commentary on Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton from a guest contributor, who happens to be female and is an Obama supporter:
I know we over-reflect upon 9/11 but I do think it's true that our nation experienced a great sense of "common" destiny which just was not cultivated -- and I don't think the neocons are the only ones to blame for that. You're right, Obama's campaign is much about recovering that sensibilty, inviting anyone and everyone to embrace it, and allowing it to permeate our society so that "common" is actually a more popular paradigm than "elite" and, so that movements of fairness will have a real chance to sweep the political ranks and significantly change some of the "business as usual".

As far as Hilary's challenge, I really feel that she already has a legacy -- as a unique first lady who insisted that the powers-that-be take a clear hard look at a private, monolithic system, which has been bleeding our citizens instead of healing them. She can always be proud of that. This whole "first female president" stump however is a hollow carp to my ears. Do we really need a "Hillary" in the oval office to assure our daughters that they can achieve their dreams in this country? Don't get me wrong. I do think it's GREAT that she's pursuing her dream in this context. But if she doesn't succeed there better not be any suggestion from her that it was because she was a gal. That would be discouraging to girls....and would, I think, discredit her as a role model. Anyway...

February 21, 2008

Vicki Iseman Photos

Pictures of the woman lobbyist that McCain denies having an intimate relationship with. She works for www.alcalde-fay.com.









As for substance, McCain's Record is not that Clean. A little digging shows he's got a clear case of impropriety involving Vicki Iseman and her client Paxton Communications.

Who is Penny Pritzker and Why is She Obama's Campaign Finance Chair?

Yesterday, February 20, 2008, on Flashpoints Radio (Stream/podcast Link), an investigative report into Penny Pritzker, the Obama campaign finance chairman. She and her family were central to the innovation known as "Mortgage Backed Securities," which are now at the center of the financial crisis and real estate melt down.
Pritzker is one of the most active of celebrated Chicago patriarch Abraham N. Pritzker's 12 living grandchildren. A Harvard-trained attorney, Pritzker, 46, was chosen by her late uncle Jay to help oversee the family's vast portfolio of investments, including the Hyatt hotel chain and the Marmon Group industrial conglomerate. (Forbes Lists 2005)

One reason we don't hear the Clinton campaign raising this as an issue is because Penny's brother has apparently been playing a spokes-person role in Hillary's campaign. Reminds me of Enron buying off both Republicans and Democrats, along with accounting firms, the media, law firms, regulators, ....

Don't get me wrong. After Edwards dropped out I shifted my support to Obama, in as much as I support dismalcrats. But, if Barak Obama was smart, he'd thank her for her services and quietly let Penny Pritzker go.

As of today, Google search of Penny Pritzker Obama generates 9,700 hits. Expect that number to grow over the coming months. But today, you are led to comments on Nation Magazine article entitled "Subprime Obama" - Letters (article link in Sources below. One comment begins as follows:

One reason Barack Obama might not want to talk about the role of financially irresponsible bank board members in creating the subprime mortgage foreclossure financial disaster is that the national finance chair of Obama's campaign, Penny Pritzker, is a former board member of the failed Superior Bank S&L that engaged in irresponsible subprime mortgage lending during the 1990s.

Apparently Penny was into subprime lending before it became all the rage starting in around 2000. It continues:

Penny Prtizker's chairmanship was apparently "to concentrate on subprimelending, principally on home mortgages, but for a while in subprime auto lending, too," after the Pritzkers' bank acquired its wholesale mortgage organization division, Alliance Funding, in December 1992.

Back then they called it "predatory lending."

What else does Google dish up? Penny's contribution record. There are rumors she gives to republicans, and it's true. She gave $1,000 to both John McCain and George W. Bush in the 1999 primary. She also gave money to McCain for Senate in 1998. She also gave money to Barack Obama for his failing House bid in 1999. She gave to Bill Frist, Rudi Giuliani's exploratory fund, and several other Republicans in 2000. $4,000 to Joe Lieberman in 2006 (he's practically a Republican). Dennis Hastert in 2006, 2003. You get the idea. Our Noble Obama's campaign finance chair likes to spread money around. Grease the wheels so to speak. She's a billionaire. Woman of the people (NOT).

Impressive list goes back to 1987. Don't you love the internet? That's why net neutrality is so important.

Now that I've whet your appetite, dig a little and leave your comments below.

Sources:

Flashpoints Radio, Febrary 20, 2007 (linked above).

Nation Magazine, Subprime Obama, Max Fraser

NewsMeat Campaign Contributions.

February 20, 2008

Why Does AP Give Terrorists a Platform?

I don't know why. Perhaps it has something to do with the profit motive of commercial media.

Associated Press passes on propaganda with the title "Group claims Iran speeding up nuke plans" when a better title would have been "Terrorist Group claims...."

They report this despite a recent CIA assessment to the contrary. *shrug*

Sources:

Associated Press, Group claims Iran speeding up nuke plans, February 20, 2008.

Rush Holt: Safeguarding the US Constitution

What is the Protect America Act reauthorization debate all about? According to Congressman Rush Holt (D NJ) its about changing a bedrock principle of the American form of democracy that would allow the executive branch to spy on American citizens without the check of a warrant from the judicial branch. That is, the Bush White House intends
... to fundamentally change the relationship between the people and their government... and that's scary and it's troubling and it could be long lasting.

In response to a recent essay of mine on warrantless fear mongering, a commenter recently asked "Who is going to protect Americans from the Protect America Act.?" My reply was,

The PEOPLE. AND, apparently Congressman Rush Holt is doing a pretty good job of it.

Below is a video interview with Holt by Robert Kennedy, Jr. It was conducted prior to last weekend's show down between the House Democrats and the White House. Holt was pessimistic in the interview, but still fighting. Holt apparently won a short term victory, because the House leadership decided it would let the Protect America Act expire rather than vote on it.


Interview by Robert Kennedy Jr. of Congressman Rush Holt

Much attention has been focused on whether or not Congress would use the Protect America Act as a vehicle for giving the telecommunications industry immunity from prosecution for being party to Bush's violation of the 4th amendment to the constitution against warrantless searches (surveillance). Holt, as noted above, points out that the implications are much deeper.

The fight is not over. Contact your representative. Tell them you Do NOT want the Protect America Act to be reauthorized. No action is good action in this case.

Also, contact Rush Holt and thank him for his service to the Nation: 202-225-5801.

Sources:

Ring of Fire Radio and GoLeft.TV.

February 19, 2008

Prosecute Bush et al. Chapter 1

Below is my latest video (only 3 min). It builds upon commentary by Mike Papantonio and David Bender of the Ring of Fire radio show. Their point? Bill Clinton should have continued the Iran Contra investigations and prosecuted senior officials of the George H. W. Bush. Had Clinton done so, we would have avoided the disaster of George W. Bush.


Prosecute Bush et al. Chapter 1

Sources:

Audio and video from Air America radio, Ring of Fire program.

February 18, 2008

Clinton: Big News

A big headline news item on Sunday? Hillary Clinton is coming out against trying the 9/11 suspects in the offshore (Guantanamo) venue created by the Military Commissions Act (MCA) of 2006. For some reason it isn't a big story when Barak Obama says the same thing. Both Clinton and Obama voted against the MCA.

The difference? Besides the media falling all over itself to help make the Clinton campaign newsworthy, Clinton has a plan. If elected president, she's going to "direct the Justice Department to evaluate the evidence amassed against these prisoners and make a determination", according to Lee Feinstein the Clinton's national security director. Whoa! Ask the Justice Department for legal advice? Now that's big news.

The Big News I'm waiting to hear is whether Clinton or Obama would nominate John Edwards to be the head of the Justice Department. Then, maybe the Downing Street Memo, evidence of Bush fixing the intelligence to meet his intent to wage a war of aggression in Iraq, among other things.

Update on Downing Street Memo Aside:

This, according to DemocracyNow!

“Dossier” Author: Britain Was “Wrong” on Iraq

The British government has released an early version of the so-called intelligence “dossier” that made the case for attacking Iraq. The document contains no mention of the central claim often made by then British Prime Minister Tony Blair that Saddam Hussein could launch chemical or biological weapons within forty minutes. British Foreign Secretary David Miliband said the early draft wasn’t used as a basis for the final document. He also criticized a judicial decision to enforce the release after a Freedom of Information Act request. As the draft was released, its author, former Blair aide John Williams, said those in Blair’s cabinet who had resigned in protest of the war were “right.” He added: “Those of us who carried on working for the government were wrong.”


Sources:

McClatchy News Bureau, Clinton would seek to try 9/11 plotters in established courts, February 17, 2008.

February 17, 2008

Crumbling Rock at the End of the Rope

Wow. Britain has socialized the bank Northern Rock PLC. Northern Rock is one of the top five mortgage lenders in the United Kingdom in terms of gross lending.

Maybe Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez is being persuasive. More likely, corporate capitalism is demonstrating that, yes, it is self-correcting. But, "self-correcting" is not the same as "self-regulating." With unregulated markets, those self-corrections can come in the form of large institutions going down the tubes after bacchanalian speculation.

The deregulation craze, starting with Ronald Reagan and Margaret Thatcher, went too far. Regulation, like a heavy flywheel on a car, helps smooth out the booms and busts, the later known as "corrections".

Take regulation away and capital accumulation goes wild, a few people get rich, stocks zoom up, speculation, a natural part of it, creates disconnections between the real value of assets and the get-rich-quick aspirations of speculators. Add cheap credit, inflationary federal monetary policies and fractional reserve banking and, as we're seeing, the disconnect between real value and speculative prices can become so large that the "correction" of the market can be terminal.

The message? Laissez-faire capitalism was given enough deregulatory rope to hang itself. It is now twisting at the end of that rope, feet kicking, eyes bulging looking to governments, that means We the Tax Payers, to "do something."

There is a solution floating around here in the US, but some think it's too "radical." Take Joe, snookered into an adjustable rate mortgage on a home that was overpriced because of the deregulatory speculative boom described above. Because Joe's mortgage is now part of a bundle of mortgages, known as a mortgaged backed security (bond), which is now part of someone's investment portfolio, it isn't possible to say, "Joe, we're going to renegotiate your mortgage." So, the "solution" is for the US Government to buy these crappy bonds, unbundle them, and do the renegotiations with the Joe's of the Nation.

Everyone pays for bailing out this capitalist debacle. But, another part of the solution must be that we get a public admission that well regulated markets are a good thing. No more of this know-nothing punditocracy lauding the Laissez-faire deregulated free market system as some kind of deity. That notion is, once again, discredited by the facts unraveling before us.

History shows, time and again, that, yes, economics principles exist. What goes up, must come down. Humans are supposed to be different from other members of the animal kingdom in their ability to self-reflect, to document their history in writing, to learn from their history. So far, it appears the free market fundamentalists have yet to join the human side of the animal kingdom, 'cuz they continue to make the same mistake over and over.

Sources:

Associated Press, Britain Nationalizes Northern Rock, February 17, 2008.

February 16, 2008

Warrantless Fear Mongering

Will the Democrats stand up to Bush's warrantless fear mongering on domestic wiretapping? It appears that they have, for the time being.

It appears that the fear mongering of Bush and the Republican Congress is warrantless.
Many intelligence scholars and analysts outside the government say that today's expiration of certain temporary domestic wiretapping laws will have little effect on national security...

With the Protect America Act expiring this weekend, domestic wiretapping rules will revert to the ... Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (FISA), which requires the government to obtain a warrant from a special court to conduct foreign intelligence surveillance in the United States.

Gotta love the name, "Protect America Act." That's the law that lets the president intercept domestic phone calls and emails without a warrant. Do you trust the president, Republican or Democrat? I don't.

It's always worth re-reading the fourth amendment to the U.S. Constitution at times like these:

The right of the people to be secure in their persons, houses, papers, and effects, against unreasonable searches and seizures, shall not be violated, and no Warrants shall issue, but upon probable cause, supported by Oath or affirmation, and particularly describing the place to be searched, and the persons or things to be seized.

shall not be violated, period. Warrants are only issued if there is "probable cause," not just for curiosity sake, to to see if, maybe somebody is thinking about maybe doing something to resist the US empire.

So, Bush turns to the fear card... again. But even the conservative Washington Times is reporting that the FISA law, updated in 2001, is sufficient; we don't need the additional Protect America Act, which allows unconstitutional warrantless surveillance.

The House Democrats are wise to take no action on reauthorizing Protect America Act. The Senate has passed a version that includes retroactive immunity for the telecommunications industry from prosecution for their role in warrantless spying on American citizens, that is, violating the fourth amendment to the Bill of Rights. The House Democrats know that, if they reauthorize the Protect America Act, even without an immunity amendment, reconciliation of the House and Senate versions by a conference committee would likely result in immunity.

We need to support the Democratic House members who are taking a stand to protect our civil liberties. Now is the time for all good citizens to contact their US Representatives:

CLICK to Contact Your House Member. Ask them to let the "Protect America Act" expire for good. Don't reauthorize it, period. FISA is sufficient.

Update:

One of the tireless members of Congress fighting on our behalf is Rep. Rush Holt (D-NJ). Learn more and watch an interview with him.

Sources:

Washington Times, Analysts say FISA will suffice, Sean Lengell, February 16, 2008.

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February 15, 2008

Who is to Blame for Subprime Mess 2

Maybe you don't believe my case for who is to blame for the subprime mess, and pending recession.

Would you believe former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan? According to the Associated Press, Greenspan said the following last night at a dinner for energy executives:
... what began as a niche part of the mortgage market grew as hedge funds sought out the collateralized paper associated with the loans.

Greenspan said recently it was the repackaging and sale to investors of the risky home loans — not the subprime loans themselves — that were to blame for the global credit crisis.

And who let the risk be passed on via all of this speculative paper? In part, Greenspan's Federal Reserve and other regulatory bodies. They let it run amok when rocket scientists like me were saying, "Whoa. This real estate bubble is getting way out of control."

Some were saying, "it's not a bubble." As if foreign investment would sustain the high prices, even though my well paid, middle class friends were saying, "If I had to buy my house today, I couldn't afford it."

Then there is the globalization factor. First, globalized financial markets allowed the foreign money to rush into our markets and contribute to the balloon. And, just like the saying, "what goes up, must come down," that global money can flee from our markets, deflating the balloon.

My recommendation: The system has become so corrupt that you're better off trusting your instincts than the so-called experts.

Update: Who is Penny Pritzker and what is her relationship with Barak Obama and the mortgage backed bond mess? The Pritzkers were central to the invention of mortgage backed securities.

Sources:

Associated Press, No recession yet, Greenspan says, February 15, 2008.

February 14, 2008

Is the US a Failed State?

Is the US a failed state? The thought came to my mind three times in one day, so it is begging for a response.

First, the issue of "failed states" was raised by Alan Narin, journalist and long-time human rights activist on behalf of the people of East Timor. In response to a question about the recent assassination attempt against the Timorese president, Narin said[3]:

Some are saying Timor is a failed state, that here the international community has been pouring all this money into Timor, and all they get out of it is chaos. I think those comments distort the situation.

He goes on to define a failed state:

I think a serious definition of a failed state would involve two basic responsibilities of any state. I mean, one is, they have to obey their own murder laws, so they shouldn’t be killing civilians or backing the killings of civilians overseas. And, two, they shouldn’t be letting people die preventably. People die of hunger, disease, that could be easily prevented.

Then Narin turns the lens on the United States:

But if you’re going to judge other states by that standard, you would have to say that, say, Australia or Indonesia or the US are much more of a failed state than Timor is, because those are countries that have been killing civilians overseas.

And the evidence on the second point is glaring. The US government failed dramatically in preparing for and responding to Hurricane Katrina. Years after Katrina, New Orleans remains a disaster area, due in great part to failures of the state.

Playwright Eve Ensler[1] has been active in New Orleans since Katrina hit. The disaster is man made, and outgrowth of corporate capitalism run amok, much like the on-going financial sector crisis:

People don’t know that the mental health rates and the suicide rates are out of control. People don’t know that people who lived in houses [with rents] that were once $400/month are now $1,200. People don’t know that people are being charged for fuel adjustment, this new term, and they don’t even have a meter, you know, the gas meter in their house. I mean, it’s a bizarre, I think really immoral and profound statement about where the US is. [a failed state].

You know, we did a brunch there recently for the women in the Gulf South, Mississippi, Alabama, grassroots activists, fabulous women who have just been working twenty-four hours a day, and we just gave them a brunch. Women were standing up and weeping, you know, talking about the fact that no one had ever given them a brunch. I thought, a brunch? This is what we’re grateful for? A brunch?

It is pitiful, in the sense you would expect from the most desperate people living in an undeveloped nation, not the United States.

Throw in the FEMA trailers with toxic levels of formaldehyde, provided by the unassailable "private sector," and the failure is palpable. This is now well documented by the Center for Disease Conrol (CDC), as is FEMA's attempt to cover up the evidence. Remember Narin's definintion: 1) don't murder civilians and 2) don't allow them to die if preventable. True, formaldehyde works slowly, but here's a case in which the US government gets a two-fer as a failed state; the US is simultaneously killing civilians and allowing preventable deaths.

Finally, the third reference to "failed state," was an article that didn't use the term, but effectively made the case. I include a reference to that article in my "Sources" below.[2] It was the thing that ultimately triggered this blog entry.

A "failed state" or perhaps simply a "corporate state"? Perhaps the more appropriate question is whether this "failed state" status is intentional. We hear people, beginning with Ronald Reagan, say, "We want less government." They are usually people who want more undemocratic corporate power. People like radical tax reformer, and Bush administration insider Grover Norquist, who says he wants to shrink government, "to get it down to the size where we can drown it in the bathtub." They say they want to make government small and ineffective. So is it "conspiracy theory" to take them at their word?

Sources:

[1] Democracy Now, On Tenth Anniversary of V-Day, Vagina Monologues Playwright Eve Ensler Focuses on Violence Against Women in New Orleans and Gulf South, February 15, 2008. Eve Ensler, Award-winning playwright and creator of The Vagina Monologues, which has been translated into over forty-five languages and is running in theaters all over the world. She is the creator of V-Day, a global movement to stop violence against women and girls.

[2] For an extensive piece on related topics See: Race, Poverty, and the Neoliberal Agenda in the United States: Lessons from Katrina and Rita, Kenneth E. Bauzon on Crimes and Corruption blog.

[3] DemocracyNow, East Timor Braces for Potential Crisis Following Assassination Attempt on President Jose Ramos-Horta, February 15, 2008.

February 13, 2008

Clinton Rejected in Potomac Primaries

Obama has charisma, which goes a long way. That's the positive factor that propelled him to win in the Potomac Primaries by huge margins:

Obama's Margins of Victory:

51% - District of Columbia
22% - Maryland
29% - Virginia


But there are negative factors too. Factors that push people away from Hillary Clinton:

  • The Corporate factor... leads to sellouts.
  • The "We Hate Clinton" factor (AKA Bill factor)... leads to divisiveness.
  • The Dirty Tricks factor... leads to a lack of trust.
  • The Yuppy factor... leads to feeling "she's not one of us."
  • The Washington Insider factor... sellouts, no trust, not one of us.
  • The Iraq and Iran factors... leads to the realization she's not experienced in foreign affairs.

The list could go on. I could elaborate. But it isn't necessary for most people, who get it.

Obama isn't the best Deomcratic Party candidate. That would have been Edwards. But, Obama is the best remaining Democratic Party candidate.

Sources:

Election 08 Political Dashboard.

February 12, 2008

You Are What You Spend

Letter to the New York Times

A friend wrote the following letter.

To the editor:

W. Michael Cox and Richard Alm (“You Are What You Spend”, Feb. 10, 2008) do an admirable job of proving the very point they wish to skewer. Those of means, by the authors' very own measures, spend far less of their worth on what have come to be seen as life’s necessities. Moreover, using consumption as a surrogate for wealth is flawed logic; many of our society’s problems, whether related to health, economy, national security or environment, stem from our insatiable appetite. Equating consumption to wealth while ignoring savings and security is simply absurd.

I'm not sure what ticked off my friend, but it might have been this bizzare line:

Looking at a far more direct measure of American families’ economic status — household consumption — indicates that the gap between rich and poor is far less than most assume, and that the abstract, income-based way in which we measure the so-called poverty rate no longer applies to our society.

By their own measures, the rich are getting richer and the poor are getting poorer:

It’s true that the share of national income going to the richest 20 percent of households rose from 43.6 percent in 1975 to 49.6 percent in 2006, the most recent year for which the Bureau of Labor Statistics has complete data. Meanwhile, families in the lowest fifth saw their piece of the pie fall from 4.3 percent to 3.3 percent.

Cox and Alm go from bizzare to absurd. First they inform us that

The bottom fifth earned just $9,974, but spent nearly twice that — an average of $18,153 a year.

and ask "How could this be?" Most of us immediately think, "Debt" as in credit cards, and "No Money Down" sales. But NOoooo. Cox and Alm inform us these poor people are splurging via

sales of property, like homes and cars and securities that are not subject to capital gains taxes, insurance policies redeemed, or the drawing down of bank accounts.

Most poor people don't have cars. They don't have bank accounts. They live paycheck to paycheck, getting ripped of by check cashers and payday loan sharks.

Then based on the foundation of that logic, we are given the not so brilliant conclusion of Cox and Alm:

if we compare the incomes of the top and bottom fifths, we see a ratio of 15 to 1. If we turn to consumption, the gap declines to around 4 to 1.

The logic is sick. Besides, anyone who is familiar with comparisons of rich and poor know that "income" is not the correct measure to use. The more proper measure is "wealth." Rich individuals often don't have, or need, "incomes." They live off the returns on investments, capital gains, which Cox and Alm point out is not counted as "income" and which is taxed at a lower rate than income (can you say, "the system is rigged by the wealthy?"). Furthermore, the rich accumulate wealth over time. The poor are lucky to have a job and live paycheck to paycheck, no accumulated wealth.

Cox and Alm should be ashamed of themselves, but I doubt they have any clue what shame is. There is a time honored solution for this. It's called the guillotine; some heads are going to roll unless people like Cox and Alm wake up and do something to narrow the wealth gap.

For those who are serious about the subject of wealth inequality, I direct you to Edward N. Wolff, economics proffessor at New York University. According to Wolff

The bottom 20 percent basically have zero wealth. They either have no assets, or their debt equals or exceeds their assets. The bottom 20 percent has typically accumulated no savings.[2]

Whereas

The top 1 percent of families hold half of all non-home wealth. The richest 10 percent of families own about 85 percent of all outstanding stocks. They own about 85 percent of all financial securities, 90 percent of all business assets. These financial assets and business equity are even more concentrated than total wealth.

Mike, Dick: It's not about "income" or "consumption." It's about "wealth."

Let Cox and Alm, of the Dallas Federal Reserve, know how you feel by contacting the Community Affairs office:
Dal.CommunityAffairs@dal.frb.org

Let Cox and Alm know that you think they need remedial education in "economics" by contacting the Dallas Federal Reserve Director, Economic Education and Special Projects Sherry Kiser:
sherry.kiser@dal.frb.org

Let the New York Times know your views too:
letters@NYtimes.com

The Fellowship of the Pen lives.

Sources:

1. New York Times, Opinions, You are What you Spend, W. MICHAEL COX and RICHARD ALM
Published: February 10, 2008.

W. Michael Cox is the senior vice president and chief economist and Richard Alm is the senior economics writer at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. With "chief" economists like Cox, it's no wonder the US is facing a financial sector melt down.

2. The Multinational Monitor, The Wealth Divide: The Growing Gap in the United States Between the Rich and the Rest, Interview with Edward N. Wolff, May 2003 - VOLUME 24 - NUMBER 5.

February 11, 2008

Surprise Surprise: Troop Drawdown Delay

Surprise surprise, the troop surge has worked so well that we need to delay the troop draw down. This isn't a quagmire, it's an occupation.

Now that we know either Clinton, Obabma or McCain will be the next president, we know the US troops will be in Iraq, at some level, for at least nine more years, unless they are pushed out.

My estimate of the length of the occupation is still on track, but I'm not sure I haven't under estimated it.

In my original estimate I used a comparison of Iraq and Vietnam as the basis for estimating six more years from January 2007. Here's another possible basis for an estimate of how long we'll be in Iraq.... Bosnia:
TUZLA, Bosnia, Nov. 24, 2004 -- U.S. troops marked the end of their nine-year peacekeeping role in Bosnia on Wednesday as NATO prepared to hand over the task to the European Union in December.

Ooops! Forgot something:

A small number of U.S. troops will stay in Bosnia to hunt war crime suspects and help the country reform its military.

Sound familiar? Obama and Clinton always say have a similar disclaimer, like those words read really quickly at the end of a damn advertisement:

Thecandidatedoesnotrepresentthisstatementasfact and reservestherighttomaintaintrooplevelstomeetunforseenneeds astheyarise
including butnotlimitedto securityforcontractorsandembassyemployees
trainingiraqiforces interdictingterrorists

So, General Petraeus wants a little time for "consolidation and evaluation," and Defense Secretary Gates "had been kind of headed in that direction as well."

Fear and Worry are all Part of a Crumbling Empire:

Some fear the drawdown could result in giving up some recent security gains while many in the military worry that strains on troops from long and multiple combat tours will grow worse unless the troop reduction continues after July.

If people like Barak Obama have their way, who call for increasing the size of the US Military by 90,000, the latter worry should subside... for a while.

Crumble, crumble.

Sources:

CBC, U.S. may delay troop cuts in Iraq: defence secretary, February 11, 2008.

February 10, 2008

Delegate Numbers Show the People are for Obama

What we have known all along is being revealed in the delegate count for Clinton and Obama. The people back Obama and the inside-crowd backs Clinton. You want "change"? Pick Obama. You want Washington inside-crowd "experience" (group think)? Pick Clinton.

Having worked in Washington, I can assure that you need not worry about "experience." Obama will be surrounded by plenty of people with Washington experience, including himself, a member of the upper chamber. He would, however, bring fresh perspective that helps avoid Washington group think.

Democratic Party delegates come in roughly two flavors, "popular delegates" picked by the people through primary elections and the "super delegates", current and former politicians and other Party functionaries (the inside-crowd).

The on-going primary election results give us the count of the popular delegates, and it presently leans in favor of Barak Obabma.

Popular Delegate Count:

904 Obama
875 Clinton

The super delegate count is known only by inference, because they need not reveal their preference until the delegates cast their formal votes. However, the Associated Press is keeping a tally of super delegates who have stated their position, summarized below. Of the 796 lawmakers, governors and party officials who are Democratic super delegates, Clinton currently has 243 and Obama has 156.

Super Delegate Count:

243 Clinton
156 Obama

Total Delegate Count:

1,118 Clinton
1,060 Obama

And, once again, to show that Faux News doesn't give it to you straight, the moniker for their "Delegate Count '08" is "You Decide." Well, in the case of Clinton and Obabma, if it's close, the inside-crowd will decide, not "you" the average person.

UPDATE: From MoveOn.Org

The superdelegates are under lots of pressure right now to come out for one candidate or the other. We urgently need to encourage them to let the voters decide between Clinton and Obama—and then to support the will of the people.

I signed a petition urging the superdelegates to respect the will of the voters. Can you join me at the link below?

Sign the Petition


February 9, 2008

Freedom News Nation

We don't need Faux News or the other corporate media. We have FNN:


Bush's Iraq Lies Exposed!


Sources:

February 8, 2008

The Bigger They Are, The Harder They Fall

Paul Krugman zeros in on the how the "widely watched" indicator of trends in the service sector [70% of the economy] "has fallen off a cliff."

More specifically, the Institute for Supply Management reported that its new composite index measuring the health of the service sector was 44.6 in January. A reading above 50 indicates expansion, while below 50 indicates contraction. That was down from 54.4 in December. "This is an absolute collapse of this index," said Nigel Gault, chief U.S. economist at Global Insight... AKA "fallen off a cliff."

Krugman also leads us to a paper by Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff - PDF for which there "has been a lot of buzz."

Reinhart and Rogoff explore the historic record for the "Big 5" bank-centered financial crises in industrialized nations. They cite "the five most catastrophic cases" to be episodes in Finland, Japan, Norway, Spain and Sweden.

They address some specifics the common refrain, "but this time it's different," only to make me more uncomfortable with the mainstream economists and pundits who use this refrain. Notworthy is the following:

This time, many analysts argued, the huge run-up in U.S. housing prices was not at all a bubble, but rather justified by financial innovation (including to sub-prime mortgages), as well as by the steady inflow of capital from Asia and petroleum exporters.

So, average Americans are at the mercy of a petro-dollar induced real estate price rise making homes unaffordable and pushing people into exotic mortgages? So, we're supposed to take comfort in the argument that the housing prices, bid up by foreign oil money, will remain high (the bubble won't burst)? Is that supposed to give me confidence in our economy and corporate globalization?

On to the prediction, or should I say comparison.

The figure below compares the US real estate bubble with the average of the "Big 5." Years are marked along the bottom of the graph, with "T" representing the year of the onset of the financial crisis. By that convention, "T-3" is three years prior to the crisis, and T+3 is three years after the onset of the crisis.

The left side of the axis a normalized index of housing prices, allowing comparison between different time periods and currencies. The authors not "the run-up in housing prices in the United States exceeds that of the “Big Five” ... by a lot. One can't help think of the saying, "the bigger they are, the harder they fall."



There's more to the paper, which I'll let you read. It's only 11 pages long and not too techincal.

Sources:

Paul Krugman, A Long Story, February 8, 2008.

Is the 2007 U.S. Sub-Prime Financial Crisis So Different? An International
Historical Comparison, Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff, Draft, January 14, 2008. (Linked above).

US Service Sector Contracts [recession] in January
.

February 7, 2008

Another Link in the Chain

This one could easily go by unnoticed, but has significant economic implications.
Moody's cut Security Capital Assurance's financial-strength rating to "A3" from "AAA." The insurer's financial strength is now "high quality," whereas it was previously "maximum safety."

This means the bonds insured by SCA will loose value because insured debt is only as safe as the reliability of its insurer.
Moody's said in order to cover the claims the company is likely to face, Security Capital needs $6 billion in "claims-paying resources," or cash it can access. The company only has access to $3.6 billion, Moody's said. Security Capital insures $150 billion in debt.

This is one more link in the unraveling chain, triggered by past irrational exuberance about, that is crazy speculation in, real estate.

Sources:

CNNMoney.ComMoody's Cuts SCA's Rating:
Moody's Slashes Rating on Security Capital Assurance, Threatening $150B in Debt
, February 7, 2008.

Mukasey: We Cannot Indict Ourselves for Waterboarding


Orwell would say, "I told you so."

Attorney General Mukasey explains why his department cannot initiate a criminal probe of waterboarding:
Waterboarding, because it was authorized to be part of a program ... cannot possibly be the subject of a Justice Department investigation,

OK, then we need a higher authority than the Department of Justice to do the investigation. Now we know another reason the dark side doesn't want to be part of the international court.

We've heard of "Justice delayed is justice denied." In this case, it's simply "justice denied."

Sources:

Washingon Post, Mukasey Rejects Criminal Probe into Waterboarding, February 7, 2008.
W

Romney: Democrats Surrender to Terror

When announcing the termination of his presidential campaign, Mitt Romney intimated that a Democrat Party president would be a "surrender to terror."
If I fight on in my campaign, all the way to the convention, I would forestall the launch of a national campaign and make it more likely that Senator Clinton or Obama would win. And in this time of war, I simply cannot let my campaign be a part of aiding a surrender to terror.

Sounds like Karl Rove, and the rabid right, was whispering in Romney's ear.

Rightwing Propaganda

Sources:

Associated Press, Romney suspends presidential campaign, LIZ SIDOTI, February 7, 2008.

February 6, 2008

We Only Did Waterboarding Three Times

George Bush gave CIA Director Michael Hayden permission to tell the 'truth' to Congress. The Bush administration only used waterboarding on three people whom they believed had high-value information.

Do you believe Hayden? Only three people? Suppose there were an international tribunal to investigate aggressive, lawless acts by the United States. Would it be OK for this tribunal to snatch Hayden from US soil if he refused to submit to interviews? Would it be OK to snatch him from foreign soil if he were traveling abroad?

Hayden had to ask permission from President Bush to tell Congress about the CIA's waterboarding. Suppose the President did not give Hayden permission to talk to the international tribunal. Would it be OK for the tribunal to waterboard Hayden to get that information? Would it be OK for the tribunal to do so to send a message to future US officials that aggressive, lawless acts will not be tolerated by the international community?

The answers to these questions are "no." Just as it is not acceptable for the US to use torture and kidnap people. The world is on the brink of descending into a dark chaos. If we slip into that horror, the US government, including the weak Congress under the so-called leadership of Nancy Pelosi, will share the blame.

PS Why do we have a guy in a military uniform heading the CIA. Shouldn't the CIA be led by a civilian?

Sources:

February 5, 2008

Torture is Not About Interrogation

Some proponents of torture prefer to call it harsh or enhanced interrogation. Some of these proponents actually believe that torture is inextricably linked to getting information. They're either not insiders or are hiding the truth about torture.

Proponents of torture who are insiders know that torture is not necessarily about extracting "actionable intelligence." Torture is part of psychological warfare.

This becomes evident when we hear people say, "we shouldn't let our enemies know what we define to be torture." Assume, for the sake of argument, that "our enemies" don't know far more about what "our government" is thinking and doing than most Americans know. Then, this "keep them guessing" argument falls squarely in the realm of psychological warefare. The "secret" bombings of Cambodia were not a secret to the North Vietnamese; the secret was foisted on the American public by the government. Similarly, the torture used by the US during Reagan's dirty wars in Central America was not a secret to the people resisting US-supported oligarchies. Furthermore, the torture wasn't about "getting information." It was about a small wealthy minority suppressing the desires of a majority of the people (that is, suppressing 'democracy').

Tens of thousands of people were "tortured and killed" in Central America by US trained death squads often acting on US intelligence (the method was openly used in Iraq: See the Salvadoran Option). Why "tortured and killed"? Because, we all know it's bad enough to die for a cause, but if you want to suppress dissent, let it be known that there is something worse than death... to be raped, to have acid poured on you, to be forced to watch this done to a friend, your wife, your child. Fear of being tortured will make you think three times before getting involved in a social cause, no matter how just.

Torture isn't about a few errant sickos. US use of torture to suppress popular opinion operates at the highest levels.
In January 2006, the Eleventh Circuit Court of Appeals upheld our $54.6 million jury verdict against Generals Jose Guillermo Garcia and Carlos Eugenio Vides Casanova, two former Ministers of Defense who oversaw the worst period of human rights abuses in El Salvador's history. [and with whom the US worked closely][1]

Two architects of the torture/death squads in Central America, John Negroponte and James Steele, were both sent to Iraq. Soon thereafter we begin hearing stories of death squads and the Salvadoran Option being used in Iraq. Coincidence?

In a second case, a brigadier-general in the Iraqi interior ministry related that his brother had been detained during a raid on May 14 [2005], in a working class Sunni suburb in Baghdad’s west. His body was found the next day bearing signs of torture. Witnesses told the general that the abductors “came in white police Toyota Land Cruisers, wore police commando uniforms, flak vests and helmets” and were armed with 9mm Glock pistols.

Glock sidearms are used by many US law enforcement agencies and have been supplied to Iraqi security forces by the US military. [2]

The same stories were told countless times during Ronald Reagan's dirty war in El Slavador. (See video of one example below).

That's the dirty secret. Torture is about sending a message to anyone who seeks to challenge US imperial rule, "Step out of line and you might be tortured." Interrogation is just a cover that the establishment media helps disseminate.

So, the debate on torture shouldn't be about whether torture produces good information or not. It shouldn't be about the ticking time bomb scenario. The debate shouldn't be about whether the use of harsh interrogation (torture) by the US will justify our "enemy's" use of torture US soldiers (though it's a logical argument). The debate needs to center on the US use of torture to suppress legitimate popular movements that challenge US foreign expansion (like the use of US military force to secure America's "vital oil interests" despite the inconvenient fact that the oil does not belong to the US). I like cheap gasoline, but torturing people for it just ain't right.


Testimony of El Salvadoran Torture Victim who Survived

Sources:

1. Center for Justice and Accountability.

2. Journalist killed after investigating US-backed death squads in Iraq, James Cogan, July 1, 2005.

Photo: El Salvador death squad victims, tortured and killed.

February 4, 2008

Military Admits Killing Nine Civilians

We are told...
The U.S. military said Monday that it had accidentally killed nine Iraqi civilians during an operation targeting al-Qaida in Iraq — the deadliest known case of mistaken identity in recent months.

The operative word there is "known"... via the establishment media that is. Those who are reading this probably seek alternative sources of information and know the only thing rare about this event is the military admission.

The other word to parse is "accidentally." As I write, before reading the full AP article, I'm guessing, "hmmm... If this was an air attack by the US, and it probably is, then the military's standard operating procedure is to conduct a collateral damage assessment before bombing. So, is the military saying that it's "accident" was a flawed collateral damage assessment? Did they predict zero civilian deaths, or did they predict only a couple dead civilians rather than nine? An even better question is whether only nine civilians were actually killed."

Sure enough, it was an air attack, the use of which increased five fold from 2006 to 2007.

I grow weary writing about this supposedly rare event, which I've written about before. This is just another government propaganda piece, taking a bad situation and spinning it to give the impression that this is "known" to be a rare "accident." It's not.

Sources:

Associated Press, 9 Iraqi civilians accidentally killed, LAUREN FRAYER, February 4, 2008.

February 3, 2008

Chilling Effect on Reporters Tightened by Regime

Maybe my blog entry title is the headline Dan Eggan of the Washington Post would really have liked to use for his recent article. He and his editors settled on the title "Grand Jury Subpoenas Times Reporter Over Book Sources."
A federal grand jury in Alexandria has issued a subpoena seeking information about the confidential sources of a newspaper journalist who wrote in a 2006 book about alleged CIA efforts to infiltrate Iran's nuclear program.

The Iranian intelligence probably knew of the CIA's infiltration attempt before NY Times Report James Risen wrote about it; it failed. So, who does the Bush Regime want to keep in the dark?

You guessed it, Hillary Clinton. But, now that they've launched a grand jury, and it's been splashed all over the the Washington Post, everyone knows. Doh! Bush should have just snatched the Times reporter and sent him to an undisclosed location. All of this might have been avoided if Bush & Co. hadn't blown the cover on Valarie Plame-Wilson.

Sources:

Washington Post, Grand Jury Subpoenas Times Reporter Over Book Sources, Dan Eggan, February 2, 2008.

February 2, 2008

Dancing Droplets

When I'm thirsty, I like to drink water

Sources:

Photo Credit: Per100Cent

February 1, 2008

"Euros Accepted" signs pop up in New York City

Reuters reports:

"some shops in New York City have begun accepting euros and other foreign currency as payment for merchandise."

"The increasingly weak U.S. dollar, once considered the king among currencies, has brought waves of European tourists to New York with money to burn and looking to take advantage of hugely favorable exchange rates."

"We didn't realize we would take so much in and there were that many people traveling or having euros to bring in. But some days, you'd be surprised at how many euros you get"

Sources:

Reuters Article.